Ayres, R. & Ezekoye, I.
(1991).
Competition and Complementarity in Diffusion: The Case of Octane.
In:
Diffusion of Technologies and Social Behavior.
Eds. Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604 &
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7814-4990Grubler, A.,
pp. 433-450 Berlin/Heidelberg, Germany: Springer.
ISBN 978-3-662-02702-8 10.1007/978-3-662-02700-4_17.
Preview |
Text
Octane.pdf - Published Version Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (781kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The standard ontogenic (life-cycle) model of technological evolution can be characterized briefly as follows (Ayres, 1987): (1) a radical invention (birth) creates a new technology; (2) it is commercialized on the basis of performance and rapidly developed by a series of improvements and modifications (infancy); (3) it is successful enough in the marketplace to attract many variants and imitators who hope to exploit a growing market (adolescence); (4) the pace of technological change finally slows down enough to permit standardization and exploitation of economies of scale, and competition on the basis of price rather than performance (maturity); and finally a new and better technology supplants it (senescence).
Item Type: | Book Section |
---|---|
Research Programs: | Technology, Economy, Society (TES) |
Depositing User: | Michaela Rossini |
Date Deposited: | 05 Apr 2016 11:22 |
Last Modified: | 27 Aug 2021 17:26 |
URI: | https://iiasa-9.eprints-hosting.org/12437 |
Actions (login required)
![]() |
View Item |